Senin, 07 November 2011

Seven Billion People

On the last day of October 2011, the global population of an upstart branch of the primate order  will reach 7 billion.
In itself, not much: Seven billion is just a one-digit flicker from 6,999,999,999. But the number carries a deep existential weight, symbolising themes central to humanity's relationship with the rest of life on Earth.
For context, let's consider a few other numbers. The first: 10,000. That's approximately how many homo sapiens existed 200,000 years ago, the date at which scientists mark the divergence of our species from the rest of homo genus, of which we are the sole survivors.
From those humble origins, humans -- thanks to our smarts, long-distance running skills, verbal ability and skill with plants -- proliferated at an almost inconceivable rate.

Some may note that, in a big-picture biological sense, humanity has rivals: In total biomass, ants weigh as much as we do, oceanic krill weigh more than both of us combined, and bacteria dwarf us all. Those are interesting factoids, but they belie a larger point.
Ants and krill and bacteria occupy an entirely different ecological level. A more appropriate comparison can be made between humans and other apex predators, which is precisely the ecological role humans evolved to play, and which -- beneath our civilised veneer -- we still are.

According to a back-of-the-envelope calculation, there are about 1.7 million other top-level, land-dwelling, mammalian predators on Earth. Put another way: For every non-human mammal sharing our niche, there are more than 4,000 of us.Environment Clean Generations
In short, humans are Earth's great omnivore, and our omnivorous nature can only be understood at global scales. Scientists estimate that 83 per cent of the terrestrial biosphere is  under direct human influence. Crops cover some 12 per cent of Earth's land surface, and account for more than one-third of terrestrial biomass. One-third of all available fresh water is diverted to human use.

Altogether, roughly  20 per cent of Earth's net terrestrial primary production, the sheer volume of life produced on land on this planet every year, is harvested for human purposes -- and, to return to the comparative factoids, it's all for a species that accounts for .00018 per cent of Earth's non-marine biomass.
We are the .00018 per cent, and we use 20 per cent. The purpose of that number isn't to induce guilt, or blame humanity. The point of that number is perspective. At this snapshot in life's history, at -- per the insights of James C. Rettie, who imagined life on Earth as a year-long movie -- a few minutes after 11:45 pm on 31 December, we are big. Very big.

However, it must be noted that, as we've become big, much of life had to get out of the way. When modern Homo sapiens started scrambling out of East Africa, the average extinction rate of other mammals was, in scientific terms, one per million species years. It's  100 times that now, a number that  threatens to make non-human life on Earth collapse.
In regard to that number, environmentalists usually say that humanity's fate depends on the life around us. That's debatable. Humans are adaptable and perfectly capable of living in squalor, without clean air or clean water or birds in the trees. If not, there wouldn't be 7 billion of us. Conservation is a moral question, and probably not a utilitarian imperative.

But the fact remains that, for all of humanity to experience a material standard of living now enjoyed by a tiny fraction, we'd  need four more Earths. It's just not possible. And that, in the end, is the significance of 7 billion. It's a challenge.
In just a few minutes of evolutionary time, humanity has become a force to be measured in terms of the entirety of life itself. How do we,  the God species, want to live? For the answer, check back at 8 billion.

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by "environment clean generations"

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